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Rape, serious child sex offences, and grooming gang crimes will be excluded from the Sentencing Act's new early release framework, the Prime Minister confirmed on 4 August 2026. Offenders convicted of those offences will see no change to the point at which they can be released from prison. The reforms, which move the earliest release point for most standard determinate sentences from half to one third of the term, will come into force on 1 October 2026.
The exclusion adds rape and child sexual offences to a list of protections already covering around 18,000 offenders serving the most serious sentences, including those on life terms or extended determinate sentences subject to Parole Board review. Wider releases under the Sentencing Act have also been delayed from September to October to give probation staff time to prepare and allow victims to contribute to licence conditions.
At a glance
- Exclusion confirmed: Rape, serious child sex offences, and grooming gang crimes are removed from the Sentencing Act's early release changes
- In force: The Sentencing Act's Progression Model takes effect 1 October 2026, delayed from September to allow probation preparation
- Already excluded: Around 18,000 offenders on life or extended determinate sentences were already outside the new framework
- GPS monitoring: Rapists and serious child sex offenders who have served their full sentence face 12 months of GPS trail monitoring on release
- Victim support: £10 million package includes a new national helpline and expanded contact for all affected victims, not just those opted into the Victim Contact Scheme
The Sentencing Act introduces a new Progression Model for offenders on standard determinate sentences. Most will now have an earliest release point of one third of their sentence, down from one half. Those currently released at two thirds will move to one half as the earliest point. In both cases, early release is conditional, offenders who behave badly or are violent in prison can be kept locked up for 100% of their sentence.
The following categories are not affected by the new early release provisions:
- Rape and serious child sex offences: Confirmed excluded on 4 August 2026 following a government review
- Grooming gang offences: Explicitly included in the exclusions alongside the child sex offence category
- Life sentences: Offenders on indeterminate sentences are not covered by the Progression Model and remain subject to Parole Board review
- Extended determinate sentences: Those found by a court to be the most dangerous were already outside the framework
- Around 18,000 existing offenders: A cohort already excluded before the rape and child sex offence additions
The government has been explicit about the reason the Sentencing Act changes are needed at all:
Prison capacity figures (GOV.UK, August 2026)
- Adult male prisons: Currently at 98% capacity, according to the government's own statement
- Cause: The government attributes the crisis to more than a decade of underinvestment in the prison estate
- Previous measures: Emergency early release schemes were used repeatedly by successive governments before July 2024
- New places: 14,000 new prison places expected by 2031, described as the fastest prison building programme since the Victorian era
Alongside the exclusions, the government has announced a package of tougher community measures intended to apply to all offenders leaving prison, not just those convicted of sexual offences. The stated aim is to create what ministers describe as a "prison outside prison" for offenders on probation.
The following measures apply across the board to offenders released under the Sentencing Act framework:
Community supervision measures
- Electronic tagging: A presumption that all offenders are tagged on release, backed by £100 million in funding already announced
- Exclusion zones: Robust new rules including restriction zones limiting where offenders can go
- Near real time monitoring: Probation staff will have near real time access to electronic monitoring data to track offender movements
- Random drug testing: 1,000 offenders to be tested randomly each month
- Banning orders: Probation will have new powers to ban offenders from driving, pubs, and events such as football matches
Offenders convicted of rape or serious child sex offences who have served their full custodial term face a further set of requirements on release:
- GPS trail monitoring: 12 months of GPS monitoring giving probation constant access to the offender's location
- Highest supervision tier: Offenders kept in the highest probation supervision tier with close contact and oversight
- Approved premises: Mandatory consideration of referral to Approved Premises, described as probation's most secure community accommodation
- Grooming gang links: Offenders flagged as connected to organised child sexual exploitation face elevated risk assessments, stronger multi agency plans, and tougher licence conditions
- Chemical suppression: The government plans to double the number of regions using chemical suppression to manage the drivers of sexual offending
The government has announced a dedicated victim support package alongside the sentencing changes. A key change to access is that contact will now be extended to all victims of affected offenders, regardless of sentence length, offence type, or whether they are enrolled in the Victim Contact Scheme. Previously, only victims who had opted into the scheme could be contacted.
The £10 million package announced alongside the exclusions covers:
Victim support measures
- £10 million funding: For extra local frontline services providing trauma focused support to victims
- National helpline: A dedicated victim helpline, available by October 2026, for all those affected by the sentencing changes
- Broader contact: All affected victims contacted, not just those who opted into the Victim Contact Scheme
- Licence condition input: The delay in commencement to October is partly to allow more victims to have a say in the licence restrictions placed on offenders
- Trauma informed support: Services described as trauma informed, covering emotional support and practical guidance
Prime Minister Andy Burnham acknowledged in a statement that he wanted to go further but said it was not possible without risking the collapse of the prison system, which he said would put public safety at greater risk. Justice Secretary Alex Norris described the decisions as ones "no Minister would ever want to take" but said it was right that the most serious crimes were excluded from the reforms.
- Full exclusion of all offences: Not possible without triggering a capacity crisis, the government says
- Immediate prison building: The 14,000 new places are expected by 2031, not sooner
- Faster foreign national removal: The Justice Secretary has been asked to review how foreign offenders can be removed more quickly and in greater numbers
- IPP sentence reform: The Justice Secretary has also been asked to review Imprisonment for Public Protection sentences to free up space
- Women's estate: A review of the women's prison estate is underway to free up additional capacity
The Sentencing Act was designed to end the cycle of emergency early release schemes that successive governments had been forced to use because adult male prisons repeatedly hit capacity. The Prime Minister halted the planned changes shortly after taking office and ordered an urgent review. The result of that review is the package announced on 4 August 2026.
Timeline
- Before July 2024: Repeated emergency early release schemes used by successive governments to manage capacity crises
- Sentencing Act passed: Legislation designed to create a permanent structured framework replacing the emergency measures
- On taking office: Prime Minister Burnham halted planned changes and called for an urgent review within days
- 4 August 2026: Review outcome published, rape and child sex offences excluded, full Progression Model implementation delayed to 1 October
- 1 October 2026: Sentencing Act Progression Model comes into force with the confirmed exclusions and new probation package
For the majority of offenders on standard determinate sentences who are not in an excluded category, the Progression Model changes the release arithmetic as follows:
- Current automatic release at 50%: New earliest release point is one third
- Current automatic release at two thirds: New earliest release point is one half (a position stricter than pre 2020 rules, when two thirds release was not possible)
- Bad behaviour in prison: Offenders who break rules or are violent can be kept locked up for 100% of their sentence under the new Progression Model
- Parole Board cases: Not affected by the Progression Model, these offenders are reviewed individually and are not released automatically
- Scale: The number of individuals affected will depend on the makeup of the prison population as it evolves up to October 2026
The exclusion of rape and child sex offences from the Sentencing Act changes means that anyone serving a sentence for those crimes will see no reduction in their earliest custodial release point. The new GPS monitoring and enhanced probation supervision, however, will apply to them when they do eventually leave prison.
The wider Sentencing Act framework, including the prison building programme, the probation expansion, and the new community supervision powers, will proceed regardless of which offences are excluded from the release point changes.
Ministers have confirmed that 1,300 additional probation officers are being recruited as part of a record £700 million investment into probation and community punishment, and that £100 million has already been committed to ensure all prison leavers are tagged on release.
Key Takeaways
- Rape, serious child sex offences, and grooming gang crimes are excluded from the Sentencing Act's Progression Model, taking effect 1 October 2026, offenders in those categories will serve the same custodial terms as before
- The Progression Model moves the earliest release point for most standard determinate sentences to one third (from one half), but this does not apply to the excluded categories
- New GPS trail monitoring for 12 months, highest tier probation supervision, and mandatory Approved Premises consideration apply to rapists and serious child sex offenders on release
- A £10 million victim support package includes a national helpline by October and expanded contact for all affected victims, including those not previously enrolled in the Victim Contact Scheme
- Adult male prisons are at 98% capacity, the government says excluding further categories of offence beyond those announced is not possible without risking system collapse
Sources & Further Reading
- GOV.UK - Rape, serious child sex and grooming offences barred from sentencing changes (Prime Minister's Office, 4 August 2026) Archived copy (OGL): archived page
- GOV.UK - Sentencing Act (Ministry of Justice) Archived copy (OGL): archived page
- GOV.UK - Prison population statistics (Ministry of Justice) Archived copy (OGL): archived page
- GOV.UK - Victim Contact Scheme (Ministry of Justice) Archived copy (OGL): archived page